Philip’s annual tweet says CSU calls for a below-normal season with 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. He adds that a “high likelihood of robust #ElNino and associated increases in vertical wind shear [are] the primary factor[s].”
References
- From the National Hurricane Center, the 2026 Atlantic tropical cyclone names are: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Leah, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred.
- The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
- The Saffir-Simpson scale runs from 75 miles per hour to 200 miles per hour.
Arthur
6/17/2026 at 1500 UTC
Tropical Storm Arthur formed about 40 miles east-northeast of Port O’Commor, Texas, with winds of 40 mph moving northeast at 9 mph.
Update 6/17/2026 at 1630 UTC
Arthur is about 60 miles east-northeast of Port O’Connor, Texas, with winds of 45 mph moving northeast at 9 mph.
Meanwhile, there is a Heat Advisory from the top of Oklahoma to the Gulf of Mexico from 6/18 11 AM to 6/19 10 PM. Heat index values of 107 to 114 degrees. We had inches of rain yesterday, and tomorrow it’s going to feel like 110 F!
Update 6/18/2026 at 0300 UTC – Last
Post-Tropical Cyclone Arthur is about 35 miles north-northeast of Galveston, Texas, with winds of 35 mph, moving northeast at 9 mph.
Bertha
7/20/2026 at 0000 UTC
Tropical Storm Bertha formed about 105 miles south of Panama City, Florida, with winds of 35 mph moving northwest at 3 mph.
Update 7/21/2026 at 2100 UTC
Bertha is about 105 miles west-southwest of Panama City, Florida, with winds of 60 mph moving northwest at 6 mph.
Update 7/22/2026 at 2100 UTC
Bertha is about 25 miles southeast of New Orleans, Louisiana, with winds of 45 mph moving west at 7 mph. Bertha made landfall at 1900 UTC about 40 miles east of New Orleans.
Update 7/23/2026 at 2100 UTC
Bertha is about 35 miles north of Galveston, Texas, with winds of 40 mph moving west-northwest at 13 mph. Bertha made 2nd landfall at 1800 UTC about 40 miles west-southwest of Lake Charles, Louisiana.
Update 7/24/2026 at 0300 UTC – Last
Bertha weekened to a depression by 0000 UTC. The remnants of Bertha are about 40 miles west-northwest of Houston, Texas, with winds of 35 mph moving west at 14 mph.
Cristobal
8/12/2026 at 1500 UTC
Tropical Storm Cristobal formed about 880 miles west of the Azores, with winds of 45 mph moving east at 25 mph.
Update 8/12/2026 at 2100 UTC
Cristobal is about 765 miles west of the Azores, with winds of 45 mph moving east at 21 mph.
Update 8/13/2026 at 2100 UTC – Last
Cristobal weakened to a Depression at 0900 UTC and then to a Post-Tropical Remnant at 1500 UTC. Last location was about 535 miles west-northwest of the Azores, with winds of 30 mph moving northeast at 16 mph.
Meanwhile, in the Pacific, there was 5 storms this week. 8/25/2026.
Dolly
8/27/2026 at 1500 UTC
Tropical Storm Dolly formed about 1555 miles east of the Leeward Islands with winds of 40 mph moving west at 24 mph.
Update 8/27/2026 at 2100 UTC
Dolly is about 1425 miles east of the Leeward Islands with winds of 40 mph moving west at 24 mph.
Update 8/28/2026 at 1500 UTC – Last
Dolly weakened to Remnant about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands with winds of 40 mph moving west at 25 mph.
Edouard
8/31/2026 at 0000 UTC
Tropical Storm Edouard formed about 140 miles southeast of Cameron, Louisiana, with winds of 40 mph moving west-northwest at 6 mph.
Update 9/1/2026 at 1920 UTC
Edouard made landfall about 15 miles south-southeast of Port Arthur, Texas, with winds of 60 mph moving northwest at 8 mph.
Look at the 23 F temperature difference from Port Arthur to Bryan.
Update 9/1/2026 at 2100 UTC
Edouard is about 5 miles west of Port Arthur with winds of 50 mph moving northwest at 7 mph.
Update 9/1/2026 at 1000 PM CDT
Edouard weakened to a Depression about 40 miles northwest of Beaumont, Texas, with winds of 35 mph moving northwest at 8 mph.
Update 9/2/2026 at 2100 UTC
Edouard is about 100 miles northeast of College Station, Texas, with winds of 25 mph moving north-northwest at 5 mph.
Update 9/3/2026 at 0900 UTC – Last
Edouard weakened to a Remnant about 40 southeast of Dallas, Texas, with winds of 25 mph moving west-northwest at 5 mph.
Fay
9/20/2026 at 0900 UTC
Tropical Storm Fay formed about 450 miles southwest of the Azores with winds of 45 mph moving north-northeast at 5 mph.
Update 9/20/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 405 miles southwest of the Azores with winds of 65 mph moving north-northeast at 6 mph.
Update 9/21/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 445 miles southwest of the Azores with winds of 45 mph moving south-southwest at 3 mph.
Update 9/22/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay degenerates to a Remnant Low Pressure Area about 685 miles southwest of the Azores with winds of 35 mph moving west-southwest at 9 mph.
Update 9/23/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay re-develops into Tropical Depression about 885 miles southwest of the Azores with winds of 35 mph moving west at 8 mph.
Update 9/24/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 1020 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 50 mph moving west at 6 mph.
Update 9/25/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 1075 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 50 mph moving west-southwest at 5 mph.
Update 9/26/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 1120 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 35 mph moving south at 2 mph.
Update 9/27/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 1160 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 35 mph moving south at 5 mph.
Update 9/28/2026 at 2100 UTC
Fay is about 1325 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 35 mph moving southwest at 9 mph.
Update 9/29/2026 at 2100 UTC – Last
Fay weakened to a Post-Tropical Cyclone today about 1590 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 30 mph moving west-southwest at 12 mph..
Gonzalo
9/25/2026 at 0300 UTC
Tropical Storm Gonzalo forms about 190 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 45 mph moving north-northwest at 8 mph.
Update 9/25/2026 at 2100 UTC
Gonzalo is about 35 miles south-southeast of Sal Cabo Verde Island with winds of 50 mph moving north at 12 mph.
Update 9/26/2026 at 2100 UTC – Last
Gonzalo is no longer a tropical cyclone, about 180 miles north of Sal Cabo Verde Island with winds of 40 mph moving north-northwest at 7 mph.
Hanna
9/28/2026 at 1500 UTC
Tropical Storm Hanna formed about 870 miles east-northeast of Bermuda with winds of 45 mph moving east at 17 mph.
Update 9/28/2026 at 2100 UTC
Hanna is about 960 miles east-northeast of Bermuda with winds of 45 mph moving east-southeast at 17 mph.
Update 9/29/2026 at 2100 UTC
Hanna is about 1175 miles east of Bermuda with winds of 40 mph moving southeast at 12 mph.
Update 9/30/2026 at 1500 UTC – Last
Hanna weakened to Post-Tropical Cyclone today about 980 miles west-southwest of the Azores with winds of 35 mph moving east at 5 mph.
Isaias
10/7/2026 at 0900 UTC
Tropical Storm Isaias formed about 285 miles west of Progreso Mexico with winds of 40 mph moving east-southeast at 8 mph.
Update 10/7/2026 at 2100 UTC
Isaias is about 225 miles west-northwest of Progreso Mexico with winds of 65 mph moving east-northeast at 8 mph.
Update 10/8/2026 at 0330 UTC – First Hurricane
Isaias strengthens to Hurricane about 180 miles northwest of Pregreso Mexico with winds of 75 mph moving east-northeast at 9 mph.
Update 10/8/2026 at 2100 UTC
Isaias is about 215 miles north of Progreso Mexico with winds of 100 mph moving northeast at 12 mph.
Update 10/9/2026 at 2100 UTC
Isaias is about 90 miles south of Pensacola Florida with winds of 115 mph moving north at 17 mph.
Update 10/9/2026 at 0130 UTC
Isaias makes landfall near Detin Florida about 40 miles east of Pensacola Florida with wind 105 mph moving north at 19 mph.
Update 10/10/2026 at 2100 UTC
Isaias weakened to a Post-Tropical Cyclone today about 5 miles west of Birmingham Alabama with winds of 30 mph moving north-northeast at 15 mph.
Update 10/11/2026 at 1500 UTC – Last
Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias is about 180 miles northeast of Nashville Tennessee with winds of 25 mph moving east-northeast at 22 mph.