Satellite image of first storm of 2021

The 2021 Hurricane Season

This year CSU again predicted an above-average season with 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes. If last year was any indication we should expect a wild season that starts early and ends late.

From the National Hurricane Center, the 2021 Atlantic tropical cyclone names are: Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Elsa, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Julian, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, and Wanda.

This year, instead of the Greek alphabet, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) published a list of normal names to use as the supplemental list of tropical cyclone names: Adria, Braylen, Caridad, Deshawn, Emery, Foster, Gemma, Heath, Isla, Jacobus, Kenzie, Lucio, Makayla, Nolan, Orlanda, Pax, Ronin, Sophie, Tayshaun, Viviana, and Will.

Ana

Well the season started early and with a whimper: subtropical storm Ana formed in the Atlantic today (May 22) about 200 miles northeast of Bermuda. This marks the 7th year in a row a named storm arrived before June 1.

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ana Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012021
500 AM AST Sat May 22 2021
…SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORMS JUST NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA…
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...34.2N 62.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Update 5/23/2021

Ana strengthens to Tropical Storm Ana.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ana Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012021
500 AM AST Sun May 23 2021
...ANA TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...35.7N 60.5W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Bill

On June 14 Tropical Storm Bill formed in the Atlantic about 335 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and heading northeast at 23 miles per hour.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bill Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022021
1100 PM AST Mon Jun 14 2021
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM BILL...
...LIKELY TO BE SHORT-LIVED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...36.7N 69.8W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

Update 6/15/2021

Bill moves northeast and becomes extratropical.

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Bill Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022021
1100 PM AST Tue Jun 15 2021
…BILL BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL…
…THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
LOCATION…43.5N 57.0W
ABOUT 335 MI…540 KM E OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 290 MI…470 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 29 MPH…46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

Claudette

On June 19 Tropical Storm Claudette finally formed in the Gulf of Mexico about 45 miles southwest of New Orleans, Louisiana, and moving north-northeast at 12 miles per hour. Heavy rainfall causing dangerous flooding!

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Claudette Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032021
400 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021
…TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE FORMS…
…HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING DANGEROUS FLOODING REMAINS THE PRIMARY
HAZARD…
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
LOCATION…29.6N 90.7W
ABOUT 45 MI…75 KM SW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM WSW OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

Update 6/21/2021

After Claudette tore through the southeast, it exited North Carolina, about 30 miles south of Norfolk, Virginia.

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Claudette Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032021
1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021
…CLAUDETTE HAS BECOME A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH…
…THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
LOCATION…39.0N 69.0W
ABOUT 160 MI…260 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 29 MPH…46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

Danny

On June 28 Tropical Storm Danny formed 45 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina, and heading west-northwest at 16 miles per hour.

SUMMARY OF 305 PM EDT...1905 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...32.2N 79.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF BEAUFORT SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.94 INCHES

Elsa

On July 1 Tropical Storm Elsa formed about 865 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour and heading west at 25 miles per hour.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 AM AST Thu Jul 01 2021
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ELSA...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...9.4N 48.8W
ABOUT 865 MI...1390 KM ESE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Update 7/2/2021 at 1145 UTC

Elsa strengthens to a hurricane about 20 miles west-southwest of Barbados.

Hurricane Elsa Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
745 AM AST Fri Jul 02 2021
...ELSA STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 745 AM AST…1145 UTC…INFORMATION
LOCATION…12.9N 59.8W
ABOUT 20 MI…30 KM WSW OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 95 MI…155 KM E OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 28 MPH…44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…995 MB…29.38 INCHES

Update 7/2/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa moving towards Dominican Republic and Haiti.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Elsa Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 PM AST Fri Jul 02 2021
...ELSA MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR EASTERN CUBA... 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...14.2N 63.7W
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

Update 7/3/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa weakened to a Topical Storm as it passed south of the Dominican Republic and Haiti.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 PM EDT Sat Jul 03 2021
...CENTER OF ELSA CLOSE TO THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI...
...NEW TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA
KEYS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...17.5N 73.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM E OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

Update 7/4/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa moves on to Cuba today (Sunday), and is expected to affect Florida by Tuesday.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 PM EDT Sun Jul 04 2021
...ELSA EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CUBA ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...19.8N 77.9W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM W OF CABO CRUZ CUBA
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

Update 7/5/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa moves over Cuba and north toward Florida.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 PM EDT Mon Jul 05 2021
...ELSA MOVING OVER WESTERN CUBA WITH HEAVY RAINS...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS ON TUESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...22.7N 81.9W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SE OF HAVANA CUBA
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

Update 7/6/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa is expected to strengthen again to a hurricane before landfall over Florida’s northwest coast.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 PM EDT Tue Jul 06 2021
...ELSA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL OVER THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...25.8N 83.0W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

Update 7/6/2021 at 0000 UTC

At 0000 UTC Elsa strengthens to hurricane with 75 miles per hour winds.

Update 7/7/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa weakened to a Tropical Storm about 0600 UTC this morning, and then it moved north, parallel to Florida’s west coast shoreline. Elsa made landfall about 1500 UTC about 65 miles north-northwest of Cedar Key, Florida, moving north at 14 miles per hour.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Elsa Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
1100 AM EDT Wed Jul 07 2021
...CENTER OF ELSA MAKING LANDFALL IN TAYLOR COUNTY ALONG THE 
NORTH FLORIDA GULF COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...29.9N 83.6W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM NNW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM WSW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

Update 7/9/2021 at 2100 UTC

Elsa went post-tropical and exited the US mainland today. Over the past 4 days Elsa cut a path of destruction from Florida to Massachusetts.

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Elsa Advisory Number  39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052021
500 PM AST Fri Jul 09 2021
...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE NEW ENGLAND COAST HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED...
...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST 
US THIS EVENING...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...43.0N 69.5W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM ENE OF BOSTON MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF PORTLAND MAINE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

Fred

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