The 2022 Hurricane Season

This year CSU again predicted an above-average season with 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes.

Not to go too far off on a tangent, but in 2020 CSU predicted 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes. Four months later they revised these numbers to be 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes, 5 major hurricanes! We ended 2020 with 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes, 6 major hurricanes!

In 2021 they predicted 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes. We ended 2021 with 21 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes.

From the National Hurricane Center, the 2022 Atlantic tropical cyclone names are: Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle, Earl, Fiona, Gaston, Hermine, Ian, Julia, Karl, Lisa, Martin, Nicole, Owen, Paula, Richard, Shary, Tobias, Virginie, Walter.

The official start of hurricane season is June 1, and it runs through November 1. This year we came close to having Hurricane Agatha slide across Mexico from the Pacific and become a tropical system in the Atlantic basin before June 1, but alas it did not happened as of this posting.

Update 8/4/2022

NOAA has updated their predictions for this hurricane season.

NOAA’s update to the 2022 outlook — which covers the entire six-month hurricane season that ends on Nov. 30 — calls for 14-20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater), of which 6-10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater). Of those, 3-5 could become major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or greater). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence.

Source: NOAA.gov taken August 4, 2022

Alex

Tropical Storm Alex formed from the remnants of Hurricane Agatha (Eastern Pacific) on June 5 at 0600 UTC on the eastern side of Florida – after dumping flooding rains on Cuba and Florida – about 165 miles east-northeast of Fort Pierce, Florida with winds of 50 miles per hour moving northeast at 18 miles per hour.

Update 6/6/22 at 2100 UTC

Alex is post-tropical about 325 miles northeast of Bermuda with winds of 60 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 31 miles per hour.

Bonnie

Tropical Storm Bonnie formed on July 1 at 1315 UTC about 230 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 20 miles per hour.

Update 7/1/2022 atb2100 UTC

Tropical Storm Bonnie at 2100 UTC is located about 100 miles east-southeast of Bluefields, Nicaragua with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west at 17 miles per hour.

Update 7/2/2022 at 1200 UTC

Tropical Storm Bonnie at 1200 UTC is located about 65 miles southeast of Managua, Nicaragua with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 14 miles per hour. Bonnie will soon move offshore of Nicaragua and emerge over the Pacific.

Colin

Tropical Storm Colin formed on July 2 at 0900 UTC about 50 miles southwest of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina with winds of 40 miles per hour moving northeast at 8 miles per hour.

Update 7/3/2022 at 0900 UTC

Remnants of Colin on July 3 at 0900 UTC was located about 10 miles north-northeast of New Bern, North Carolina with winds of 30 miles per hour moving northeast at 10 miles per hour.

Danielle

Tropical Storm Danielle formed on September 1 at 1500 UTC about 960 miles west of the Azores with winds of 40 miles per hour moving east at 2 miles per hour.

Update 9/2/2022 at 1500 UTC

Danielle strengthens to Hurricane Danielle (first) about 885 miles west of the Azores with winds of 75 miles per hour moving west at 1 mile per hour.

Update 9/3/2022 at 0900 UTC

Danielle weakens to a Tropical Storm and is located about 915 miles west of the Azores with winds of 70 miles per hour moving west at 1 mile per hour.

Update 9/4/2022 at 0300 UTC

Danielle strengthens to Hurricane and is located about 985 miles west of the Azores with winds of 75 miles per hour moving west at 2 miles per hour.

Update 9/4/2022 at 2100 UTC

Danielle strengthens and is located about 980 miles west of the Azores with winds of 85 miles per hour moving north at 2 miles per hour.

Update 9/5/2022 at 2100 UTC

Danielle is located about 885 miles west-northwest of the Azores with winds of 85 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/6/2022 at 2100 UTC

Danielle is located about 765 miles west-northwest of the Azores with winds of 75 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 7 miles per hour.

Update 9/7/2022 at 2100 UTC

Danielle is located about 625 miles northwest of the Azores with winds of 80 miles per hour moving northeast at 16 miles per hour.

Update 9/8/2022 at 1500 UTC

Danielle is post-tropical about 715 miles north-northwest of the Azores with winds of 65 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 14 miles per hour.

Earl

Tropical Storm Earl formed on September 2 at 0300 UTC about 185 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 14 miles per hour.

Update 9/3/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl strengthens and is located about 75 miles north of the Northern Leeward Islands with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

Update 9/4/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl is located about 110 miles north of St. Thomas with winds of 50 miles per hour moving northwest at 5 miles per hours.

...ONGOING HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULTING IN FLOODING IMPACTS IN PUERTO RICO, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS, AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT...

Update 9/5/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl is located about 265 miles north of St. Thomas with winds of 65 miles per hour moving north at 6 miles per hour.

Update 9/6/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl is located about 570 miles south of Bermuda with winds of 70 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 5 miles per hour.

Update 9/7/2022 at 0000 UTC

Earl strengthens to Hurricane Earl (second) about 550 miles south of Bermuda with winds of 80 miles per hour moving north at 6 miles per hour.

Update 9/7/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl is located about 405 miles south of Bermuda with winds of 85 miles per hour moving north at 8 miles per hour.

Update 9/8/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl is located about 140 miles south of Bermuda with winds of 100 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 16 miles per hour.

Update 9/9/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl is located about 430 miles northeast of Bermuda with winds of 105 miles per hour moving northeast at 26 miles per hour.

Update 9/10/2022 at 2100 UTC

Earl becomes post-tropical cyclone about 215 miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland with winds of 85 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 10 miles per hour.

Fiona

Tropical Storm Fiona formed on September 14 at 0150 UTC about 646 miles east of the Leeward Islands with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west at 14 miles per hour.

Update 9/15/2022 at 2100 UTC

Fiona is located about 425 miles east of the Leeward Islands with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west at 14 miles per hour.

Update 9/16/2022 at 2100 UTC

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING ON PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

Fiona is located about 20 miles east-northeast of Guadeloupe with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west at 15 miles per hour.

Update 9/17/2022 at 0900 UTC
...FIONA EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...

Fiona is located about 125 miles west of Guadeloupe with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west at 13 miles per hour.

Update 9/17/2022 at 2100 UTC

Fiona is located about 70 miles south of St. Croix with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/18/2022 at 0900 UTC

Fiona is located about 80 miles west-southwest of St. Croix with wind of 65 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 8 miles per hour.

Update 9/18/2022 at 1500 UTC

...FIONA BECOMES A HURRICANE...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS AND MUDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

Fiona strengthens to Hurricane Fiona (third) about 50 miles south of Ponce, Puerto Rico with winds of 80 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 8 miles per hour.

Update 9/18/2022 at 1920 UTC

...FIONA MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO...

Fiona is about 15 miles south-southeast of Mayaguez, Puerto Rico with winds of 85 miles per hour moving northwest at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/18/2022 at 2100 UTC

...FIONA NOW MOVING JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO AND HEADING FOR THE
EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
...CAUSING CATASTROPHIC FLOODING...

Fiona is located about 10 miles west of Mayaguez, Puerto Rico with winds of 85 miles per hour moving northwest at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/19/2022 at 0730 UTC

...FIONA MAKES LANDFALL IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

Fiona is located about 15 miles south-southwest of Punta Cana, Dominican Republic with winds of 90 miles per hour moving northwest at 8 miles per hour.

Update 9/19/2022 at 2100 UTC

Fiona is located about 130 miles southeast of Grand Turk Island with winds of 100 miles per hour moving northwest at 10 miles per hour.

Update 9/20/2022 at 0900 UTC

...CENTER OF CATEGORY THREE FIONA NEAR GRAND TURK ISLAND...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING STILL
OCCURRING IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

Fiona is located about 20 miles southeast of Grand Turk Island with winds of 115 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

Update 9/20/2022 at 2100 UTC

Fiona is located about 50 miles north of North Caicos Island with winds of 115 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 8 miles per hour.

Update 9/21/2022 at 0900 UTC

...FIONA MOVING NORTHWARD AT CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH...

Fiona is located about 170 miles north-northwest of Grand Turk Island with winds of 130 miles per hour moving north at 8 miles per hour.

Update 9/21/2022 at 2100 UTC

...LARGE HURRICANE FIONA EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA LATE
TOMORROW AND EARLY FRIDAY...

Fiona is located about 615 miles southwest of Bermuda with winds of 130 miles per hour moving north at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/22/2022 at 0900 UTC

...FIONA NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA...

Fiona is located about 485 miles southwest of Bermuda with winds of 130 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 13 miles per hour.

Update 9/22/2022 at 2100 UTC

...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ON BERMUDA AS FIONA APPROACHES...
...RISK OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM WIND, STORM SURGE, AND HEAVY
RAINFALL INCREASING FOR ATLANTIC CANADA...

Fiona is located about 305 miles west-southwest of Bermuda with winds of 130 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 20 miles per hour.

Update 9/23/2022 at 0900 UTC

...CENTER OF FIONA PASSING NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN NOVA SCOTIA BY EARLY SATURDAY...

Fiona is located about 155 miles northwest of Bermuda with winds of 125 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 25 miles per hour.

Update 9/23/2022 at 2100 UTC

Fiona is located about 370 south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia with winds of 125 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 40 miles per hour.

Update 9/24/2022 at 0900 UTC

...CENTER OF FIONA NOW CROSSING EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA...
...HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...

Fiona is located about 160 miles northeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia with winds of 90 miles per hour moving north at 26 miles per hour.

Update 9/24/2022 at 2100 UTC

...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED IN ATLANTIC
CANADA...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...

Fiona is located about 80 miles northwest of Port Aux Basques, Newfoundland with winds of 70 miles per hour moving northeast at 8 miles per hour.

Gaston

Tropical Storm Gaston formed on September 20, 2022 at 2100 UTC about 990 miles west of the Azores with winds of 40 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 17 miles per hour.

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM GASTON...

Update 9/21/2022 at 2100 UTC

Gaston is located about 705 miles west of the Azores with winds of 65 miles per hour moving northeast at 14 miles per hour.

Update 9/22/2022 at 2100 UTC

...GASTON APPROACHING THE WESTERN AZORES ISLANDS..
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...

Gaston is located about 245 miles northwest of Faial Island in the Central Azores with winds of 65 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 17 miles per hour.

Update 9/23/2022 at 2100 UTC

Gaston is located about 70 miles north of Faial Island in the Central Azores with winds of 60 miles per hour moving south at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/24/2022 at 0900 UTC

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
AZORES SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING...
...GASTON EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...

Gaston is located about 80 miles west of Faial Island in the Central Azores with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west-southwest at 9 miles per hour.

Update 9/24/2022 at 2100 UTC

Gaston is located about 170 miles west of Faial Island in the Central Azores with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 12 miles per hour.

Hermine

Tropical Storm Hermine formed on September 23 at 2100 UTC about 290 miles northeast of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

...THE EIGHTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS, BUT IN THE 
EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...HEAVY RAINS FORECAST FOR THE CANARY ISLANDS...

Update 9/24/2022 at 2100 UTC

...HERMINE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CANARY ISLANDS FOR
ANOTHER DAY OR SO...

Hermine is located about 460 miles north-northeast of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 35 miles per hour moving north at 10 miles per hour.

Ian

Tropical Storm Ian formed on September 24 at 0300 UTC about 385 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.

...TROPICAL STORM IAN FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS EARLY 
MONDAY...

Update 9/24/2022 at 2100 UTC

Ian is located about 255 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west at 16 miles per hour.

Update 9/25/2022 at 2100 UTC

Ian is located about 220 miles south-southeast of Grand Cayman with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west-northwest of 12 miles per hour.

Update 9/26/2022 0000 UTC

…IAN BECOMES A HURRICANE AND ADDITIONAL RAPID STRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED TODAY…
…EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS
IN WESTERN CUBA…

Ian strengthens to Hurricane Ian (fourth) about 90 miles southwest of Grand Cayman with winds of 75 miles per hour moving northwest at 14 miles per hour.

Update 9/26/2022 at 2100 UTC

Ian is located about 155 miles southeast of the Western tip of Cuba with winds of 100 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 13 miles per hour.

Update 9/27/2022 at 0900 UTC

...CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE IAN MOVING OVER WESTERN CUBA...
...SIGNIFICANT WIND AND STORM SURGE IMPACTS OCCURRING OVER WESTERN
CUBA...

Ian is located about 5 miles south of the city of Pinar Del Rio, Cuba with winds of 125 miles per hour moving north at 12 miles per hour.

Update 9/27/2022 at 2100 UTC

...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED SOUTHWARD IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING
EXPECTED WITH IAN IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...

Ian is located about 230 miles south of Sarasota, Florida with winds of 120 miles per hour moving north at 10 miles per hour.

Update 9/28/2022 at 0900 UTC

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND IAN HAS STRENGTHENED INTO AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC
WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...

Ian is located about 75 miles west-southwest of Naples, Florida with winds of 140 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 10 miles per hour.

Update 9/28/2022 at 1910 UTC

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IAN MAKES LANDFALL IN 
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...

Ian is located about 20 miles west-northwest of Ft. Myers, Florida with winds of 150 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 9 miles per hour.

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